Raporo yuzuye y'isesengura ry'inganda: Isoko ry'umuhondo wa Aziya na Amerika y'Epfo (2020-2025) n'icyerekezo cy'ingamba za 2026
Byateguwe na:Xiamen Hoda Co., Ltd.
Itariki:Ukuboza 24, 2025
Intangiriro
Xiamen Hoda Co., Ltd., ifite uburambe bw'imyaka makumyabiri nk'ikigo gikomeye mu gukora no kohereza hanze amasambusa gifite icyicaro i Xiamen, mu Bushinwa, itanga iri sesengura ryimbitse ry'ibyoAziya na Amerika y'Epfo imiterere y’ubucuruzi rusange. Iyi raporo igamije gutanga ibitekerezo by’ingirakamaro ku miterere y’isoko kuva mu 2020 kugeza mu 2025, hamwe n’isuzuma ryimbitse kuri Aziya na Amerika y’Epfo, no gutanga ibitekerezo bireba imbere n’ingamba zo kubyitaho mu 2026.
1. Isesengura ry'ibicuruzwa byinjizwa mu mahanga n'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga by'umuhondo muri Aziya na Amerika y'Epfo (2020-2025)
Kuva mu 2020 kugeza mu 2025, habaye impinduka zikomeye ku nganda zikora, zirangwa n’ihungabana ryatewe n’icyorezo, ivugurura ry’uruhererekane rw’ibicuruzwa, no kuzamuka kw’ubukungu bitewe n’imyitwarire y’abaguzi ihinduka.
Imiterere y'Ubucuruzi muri rusange:
Ubushinwa bukomeje kuba ihuriro ry’isi ritagishidikanywaho, rifite hejuru ya 80% by’ibicuruzwa by’inganda byoherezwa mu mahanga. Dukurikije amakuru aturuka mu Ishami ry’Ubushinwa ryita ku bucuruzi bw’ibicuruzwa byoroheje n’ubukorikori n’ubukorikori hamwe na UN Comtrade, agaciro k’ubucuruzi bw’ibicuruzwa by’inganda (HS code 6601) kazamutse mu buryo bwa V. Nyuma yo kugabanuka gukabije mu 2020 (byagereranyijwe kugabanuka kwa 15-20%), icyifuzo cyariyongereye kuva mu 2021, bitewe n’ibikenewe cyane, ibikorwa byo hanze byiyongera, no kongera kwibanda ku bikoresho by’umuntu ku giti cye. Agaciro k’isoko ku isi kateganijwe kurenga miliyari 4.5 z’amadolari y’Amerika mu mpera za 2025.
Isoko rya Aziya (2020-2025):
Ihindagurika ry’ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga: Aziya ni isoko rikomeye ry’umusaruro kandi ni isoko rikura cyane ry’ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga. Abatumiza ibicuruzwa by’ingenzi barimo Ubuyapani, Koreya y’Epfo, Ubuhinde, n’ibihugu byo muri Aziya y’Amajyepfo y’uburasirazuba (Viyetinamu, Tayilande, Indoneziya, Filipine).
Amakuru: Ibicuruzwa byinjizwa mu mahanga muri ako karere byagabanutse by'agateganyo mu 2020 ariko byazamutse cyane kuva mu 2021. Ubuyapani na Koreya y'Epfo byakomeje gutumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga by'ubwoko bwiza, bikora neza kandi by'umwihariko. Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba yagaragaje iterambere ritangaje, aho ubwinshi bw'ibicuruzwa byinjizwaga mu bihugu nka Vietnam na Filipine bwiyongereyeho 30-40% kuva mu 2021 kugeza 2025, bitewe n'ubwiyongere bw'amafaranga yinjira mu mijyi, iterambere ry'imijyi, n'ikirere gikabije (ibihe by'imvura). Ubuhinde'Isoko ry’ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga, nubwo rifite umusaruro mwinshi mu gihugu, ryakuze ku bw’ibicuruzwa byihariye kandi by’igiciro cyinshi.
Ihindagurika ry’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga: Ubushinwa bwiganje mu byoherezwa mu mahanga muri Aziya. Ariko, ibihugu nka Vietnam na Bangladesh byongereye ubushobozi bwabyo bwo kohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga ku buryo bw’ibanze, bikoresha inyungu ku kiguzi n’amasezerano y’ubucuruzi. Ibi byatumye habaho urusobe rw’ibicuruzwa mu karere rutandukanye cyane, ariko rukiri urw’Ubushinwa.
Isoko rya Amerika y'Epfo (2020-2025):
Ihindagurika ry’ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga: Amerika y’Epfo ni isoko rikomeye ry’ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga rishingiye ku bicuruzwa biva mu mahanga. Ibicuruzwa by’ingenzi biva mu mahanga ni Brezili, Megizike, Shili, Kolombiya na Peru.
Amakuru: Akarere kahuye n'ibibazo bikomeye by'ibicuruzwa n'ubukungu mu 2020-2021, bitera ihindagurika ry'ingano y'ibitumizwa mu mahanga. Ariko, kuzamuka kw'ubukungu kwagaragaye kuva mu 2022. Brezili, isoko rinini, rihora riri mu bihugu bya mbere bitumiza ibicuruzwa ku isi. Ibicuruzwa byo muri Chili na Peru bitumiza mu mahanga bikunze kwita ku ibura ry'ibicuruzwa mu gihe cy'izuba mu majyepfo y'isi. Amakuru agaragaza ko igipimo cy'izamuka ry'ubukungu ku mwaka (CAGR) kiri hagati ya 5-7% mu gaciro k'ibitumizwa mu mahanga mu karere kuva mu 2022 kugeza mu 2025, kirenze urugero rw'icyorezo mbere y'icyorezo. Isoko nyamukuru ry'ibi bicuruzwa biva mu mahanga birenga 90% ni Ubushinwa.
Icyerekezo cy'ingenzi: Ibiciro biracyari hejuru muri Las nyinshiAmerika ya Tin amasoko, ariko hari impinduka igaragara, buhoro buhoro igana ku bicuruzwa byiza kandi biramba igihe kirekire mu gihe cy'izuba ryinshi n'imvura.
Incamake y'igereranya: Nubwo uturere twombi twakize cyane, iterambere rya Aziya ryari rihamye kandi rishingiye ku bwinshi, ryashimangiwe n'ibyo abantu basaba imbere mu gihugu ndetse n'uruhererekane rw'ibikoresho bigezweho. Iterambere rya Amerika y'Epfo, nubwo rihamye, ryakunze kwibasirwa n'ihindagurika ry'ifaranga n'impinduka muri politiki y'ubukungu. Aziya yagaragaje inyota yo guhanga udushya n'imideli, mu gihe Amerika y'Epfo yashyize imbere agaciro n'uburambe.
2. Iteganyagihe rya 2026: Ibikenewe, Imiterere, n'Ibiciro
Isoko rya Aziya mu 2026:
Ubusabe: Biteganijwe ko ubusabe buziyongera kuri 6-8%, buyobowe na Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba n'Ubuhinde. Impamvu nyamukuru ni imihindagurikire y'ikirere (gukenera cyane uburinzi bw'imirasire y'izuba no kurinda imvura), guhuza imideli, no kongera ubukerarugendo.
Imiterere: Isoko rizarushaho kugabanyuka.
1. Ikoranabuhanga Rishingiye ku Mikorere: Imitaka y'izuba ifite ubushobozi bwo hejuru bwa UPF (50+), imitaka yoroheje idapfa gushyuha, n'imitaka ifite ubushobozi bwo gushyushya imodoka mu buryo bworoshye bizatera kwiyongera kw'abayikeneye muri Aziya y'Iburasirazuba.
2. Imyambarire n'imibereho: Ubufatanye n'abashushanya, imiterere ya anime/imikino, n'ibirango bibungabunga ibidukikije bizaba ingenzi. Amasafuriya magufi kandi ya telesikope afite amashusho yihariye, imiterere, n'ibikoresho birambye (nk'imyenda ya PET yasubiwemo) azaba ari yo azagurishwa cyane.
3. Iby'ibanze n'ibyamamaza: Gushaka imitaka ihendutse kandi irambye yo gutanga impano ku bigo no kuzikwirakwiza ku bwinshi.
Ingano y'ibiciro: Hazabaho ubwoko bwinshi bw'ibikoresho: ibikoresho byo kwamamaza bigenwa n'amafaranga (1.5 - 3.5 USD FOB), ibikoresho bisanzwe by'imideli/imikorere (4 - 10 USD FOB), n'ibikoresho by'ikoranabuhanga by'igiciro cyinshi (15+ USD FOB).
Isoko rya Amerika y'Epfo mu 2026:
Ubusabe: Izamuka riri hagati ya 4-6% ryitezwe. Ubusabe buzakomeza kuba bushingiye ku bihe by'izuba n'ikirere. Iterambere ry'ubukungu mu bihugu by'ingenzi nka Brezili na Megizike ni ryo rizaba ingenzi.
Imiterere: Gushyira mu bikorwa bizagenga.
1. Amasambule y'imvura n'izuba aramba: Amasambule manini afite inkingi zikomeye (ikirahure cy'ikirahure kirwanya umuyaga) n'amasambu akingira imirasire ya UV menshi ni byo bizakenerwa cyane.
2. Gufungura/Gufunga mu buryo bwikora: Iyi porogaramu irimo guhinduka kuva ku giciro cyo hejuru kugera ku gisanzwe mu bicuruzwa byinshi biri hagati.
3. Amahitamo y'ubwiza: Amabara meza, imiterere y'ahantu hashyuha, n'ibishushanyo byoroshye kandi byiza bizakunzwe. Ingendo "yo kurengera ibidukikije" iri kuzamuka ariko ku muvuduko muto ugereranije no muri Aziya.
Ingano y'ibiciro: Isoko rirahangana cyane ku giciro. Umubare munini w'ibikenewe uzaba uri hagati y'amadolari 2 na 6. Hari ibice by'igiciro cyinshi ariko ni bike cyane.
3. Imbogamizi zishobora guterwa n'ibicuruzwa by'Abashinwa byoherezwa mu mahanga muri 2026
Nubwo Ubushinwa bufite umwanya ukomeye, abashora imari mu mahanga bagomba kunyura mu bihe bigoye kurushaho mu 2026.
1. Impinduka mu miterere ya politiki y’ubutaka n’ubucuruzi:
Igitutu cyo gukwirakwiza ibicuruzwa: Ibihugu bimwe na bimwe byo muri Aziya na Amerika y'Epfo, bigizweho ingaruka n'amakimbirane mu bucuruzi n'ingamba za "Ubushinwa Plus One", bishobora gushishikariza inganda zo mu gihugu cyangwa gushaka ibicuruzwa bivuye mu bindi bihugu nka Vietnam, Ubuhinde, cyangwa Bangladesh. Ibi bishobora kugira ingaruka ku isoko ry'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga bisanzwe by'Ubushinwa.
Ingaruka z'imisoro n'iyubahirizwa ry'amategeko: Ingamba z'ubucuruzi ku ruhande rumwe cyangwa amategeko akaze y'inkomoko mu masoko amwe n'amwe zishobora kubangamira ubucuruzi buriho kandi zikagira ingaruka ku ipiganwa ry'ibiciro.
2. Irushanwa rikomeye ku Isi:
Inganda zo mu gihugu zirimo kwiyongera: Ibihugu nk'Ubuhinde na Brezili birimo guteza imbere cyane inganda zabyo zo mu gihugu. Nubwo bitaragera ku rwego rw'Ubushinwa, birimo kuba abahanganye bakomeye ku masoko yo mu gihugu no mu nkengero zacyo ku byiciro by'ibanze.
Irushanwa ry'Ibiciro: Abarushanwa bo muri Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba na Aziya y'Amajyepfo bazakomeza guhatana n'Ubushinwa ku giciro cy'umwimerere ku bicuruzwa bigurishwa ku giciro gito kandi kiri hejuru.
3. Imiterere y'uruhererekane rw'ibicuruzwa n'ibiciro bihindagurika:
Ihindagurika ry’ibicuruzwa: Mu gihe byoroshye, ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa ku isi ndetse n’ubwizigirwa bishobora kutagaruka ku rwego rwa mbere y’icyorezo. Ihindagurika ry’ibiciro byo kohereza ibicuruzwa muri Amerika y’Epfo, cyane cyane, rishobora kwangiza inyungu.
Izamuka ry'ibiciro by'ibikoresho: Ihindagurika ry'ibiciro by'ibikoresho fatizo (poliyesita, aluminiyumu, fiberglass) n'ikiguzi cy'abakozi bo mu ngo mu Bushinwa bizashyira igitutu ku ngamba zo kugena ibiciro.
4. Guhindura ibisabwa n'abaguzi n'amategeko agenga ubucuruzi:
Inshingano zo Kubungabunga Ubukungu: Aziya (urugero, Ubuyapani, Koreya y'Epfo) n'ibindi bice bya Amerika y'Epfo biri kwitondera cyane amategeko agenga ibidukikije. Ibi birimo gusaba ibikoresho bishobora kongera gukoreshwa, kugabanya ipaki ya pulasitiki, no kugaragaza imiterere y'ibikomoka kuri karuboni. Kunanirwa kuvugurura bishobora kugabanya uburyo bwo kugera ku isoko.
Amahame y’Ubuziranenge n’Umutekano: Amasoko arimo gushyira mu bikorwa igenzura rikomeye ry’ubuziranenge. Muri Amerika y’Epfo, ibyemezo by’ubudahangarwa n’uburinzi bw’imirasire ya UV bishobora kuba ibyemewe. Abaguzi bo muri Aziya basaba imideli myiza kandi yihuta.
Umwanzuro n'Ingaruka z'Ingamba
Amasoko rusange ya Aziya na Amerika y'Epfo atanga amahirwe yo gukura mu buryo burambye mu 2026 ariko mu rwego rw'imbogamizi zikomeye. Intsinzi ntizongera gushingira ku bushobozi bw'inganda gusa ahubwo izaba ishingiye ku buryo bworoshye bwo gukora.
Ku bashora imari mu mahanga nka Xiamen Hoda Co., Ltd., inzira igana imbere ikubiyemo:
Itandukaniro ry'ibicuruzwa: Kuzamura uruhererekane rw'agaciro hibandwa ku bicuruzwa bishya, bishingiye ku gishushanyo mbonera, kandi birambye, cyane cyane ku isoko rya Aziya.
Gutandukanya isoko: Guhindura imiterere y'ibicuruzwa—itanga ibisubizo bihendutse kandi birambye kuri Amerika y'Epfo hamwe n'ibikoresho bigezweho kandi byazamuwe mu ikoranabuhanga muri Aziya.
Ubudahangarwa bw'Uruhererekane rw'Ibicuruzwa: Guteza imbere uruhererekane rw'ibicuruzwa rugenda rworoshye kandi rusobanutse kugira ngo bigabanye ingaruka z'ibicuruzwa n'ikiguzi.
Gukomeza Ubufatanye: Guhindura ubufatanye kuva mu kohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga mu buryo bw'ubucuruzi kugera ku bufatanye bw'ingamba n'abacuruza ibicuruzwa mu masoko y'ingenzi, bakabagiramo uruhare mu iterambere ry'ubucuruzi no gutegura ububiko bw'ibikoresho.
Mu kwimakaza udushya, ibidukikije birambye, n'ingamba zijyanye n'isoko, abashoramari bo mu Bushinwa bohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga ntibashobora guhangana n'ibibazo biri imbere gusa, ahubwo banakomeza ubuyobozi bwabo mu nganda zihuza isi.
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Ku bijyanye na Xiamen Hoda Co., Ltd.:
Yashinzwe mu 2006 I Xiamen, mu Bushinwa, Xiamen Hoda ni ikigo gikomeye mu gukora no kohereza hanze amasambu. Tumaze imyaka 20 twiyeguriye inganda zacu, twibanda ku gushushanya, guteza imbere no gukora amasambu menshi meza y’imvura, izuba, n’imideli ku masoko mpuzamahanga. Umuhango wacu wo guhanga udushya, kugenzura ubuziranenge, no gutanga serivisi zishingiye ku bakiriya watumye tuba abafatanyabikorwa bizeye ku bigo mpuzamahanga.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Ukuboza-25-2025